Predicting recessions involves a lot of correlation and not a lot of causation. What many believe is the best predictor is from the Treasury market, and it’s back in focus: an inverted yield curve, or ...

Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted on Tuesday for the first time since 2019, as investors priced in an aggressive rate-hiking plan by the Federal Reserve as it attempts to ...

The yield curve between long-term and short-term U.S. Treasury bonds has inverted again after about two months, raising concerns about an economic recession. On Wall Street, this phenomenon is seen as ...

(Reuters) - A section of the U.S. Treasury yield curve has moved into inversion. Here is what that means. WHAT ARE TREASURIES? U.S. Treasuries are bonds, or debt, sold by the federal government, most ...

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The bond market is flashing a big neon caution sign. Yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds dipped below the yield on the US 2-year bond Wednesday. It was the first time the 10-year yield was below the 2 ...

In the complex world of finance, various tools exist to guide a diverse group of professionals, including economists, investors, and financial advisors. One such tool that is widely under the watch ...